Shiller: Why Smart Money Can’t Stop a Housing Bubble At least according to economist (and Nobel Prize winner) Robert Shiller, housing is more prone to bubbles than stocks for two reasons: 1) housing supply eventually responds to higher prices, satisfying demand (and then some); and 2) unlike stocks, it’s not possible to short housing —...Read More
“Zillow-Pulsenomics What?!?” I’ve certainly taken my share of potshots on these pages at housing predictions by so-called industry experts. See, “Housing Market Predictions 2013;” “Barrons: ‘Home Prices Headed Up 7%“; “Predicting Home Prices in . . . 2022?!?” So, who do I find more credible? Try Robert Shiller, professor of economics and finance at Yale...Read More
The Search for New Currencies Although G.D.P. numbers still aren’t perfect ” they are subject to periodic revisions, for example ” the basic problem has been largely solved. –Robert Shiller, “A Way to Share in a Nation’s Growth“; The New York Times (12/26/2009) In a piece in today’s New York Times, Robert Shiller — that...Read More
Why People Hate Wall Street —And Wall Street Analysts, too When stocks are going up, the airwaves are full of Wall Street analysts and other pundits chock-full of stock picks sure to make you money. So what can you expect to hear after stocks plummet 50% or more? All the reasons why stocks “are still...Read More
Less Trust = Simpler Financial System “The more complex the transaction, the more trust is needed to sustain the transaction.” –Robert Shiller, “Animal Spirits Depend on Trust“; The Wall Street Journal (1/27/2009) Robert Shiller, the Yale economist who made his name calling the 2000 Stock Market Bubble, has an excellent piece in Tuesday’s Wall Street...Read More
