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New York Times

The Folly of Predicting Home Prices — and Interest Rates (at Least in the Short Run)

Ben Bernanke’s Mortgage “Fools rush in where angels fear to tread.” –Proverb “This side appears to be brown.” –Joke about what a CPA will answer, when asked what color a horse standing 50 feet away in a pasture is. When clients ask me where I think home prices are headed, my standard Realtor answer is,...
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Both Causing & Preventing Heart Attacks: Is Modern Technology a Zero Sum Game?

Call it a “High Tech Wash” (At Least at the Societal Level) “Racing the Clock, Saving the Heart:  Faster Care Helps Death Rate Plunge 38% in Decade.”  –Headline; NYT (June 21, 2015) “A study published in 2012 that tracked women for 10 years concluded that stressful jobs increased the risk of a cardiovascular event by 38%.”...
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Great Fortunes, Great Crimes & Manhattan Real Estate

The Property Taxes on That $100 Million NYC Penthouse Are HOW MUCH?!? “Behind every great fortune lies a great crime.” -Honoré de Balzac Reading The New York Times’ expose, “Hidden Wealth Flows to Elite New York Condo’s,” it’s hard not to think of Balzac’s famous quote. Except that when it comes to condos in certain...
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NYT’s Floyd Norris Retires

Wall Street Oxymoron:  “Spin-Free Financial Journalism” “What happens when you turn over regulatory responsibilities to people who think there is really no need for regulation?” –Floyd Norris, “When Regulators are Blind to Rules“; The NYT (12/18/2014) I can count on one hand — with a finger or two left over — the financial journalists and...
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“Climate Change Refuges”: Anchorage, Seattle, Portland . . . Twin Cities(??)

Climate Change Migration “There may be other [climate] refuges to the east. Don’t count out the elevated inland cities in the country’s midsection, like Minneapolis, Salt Lake City, Milwaukee and Detroit.  “I predict we’re going to have millions of people moving to those areas,” said Matthew E. Kahn, a professor of environmental economics at the...
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The “All or Nothing” Mindset of Coastal Ex-Pat’s, Big City Drop-Outs

What’s Half-Way Between a Big City and a Remote Town? “I moved to Hudson, N.Y.  And then I moved away.” –“Giving Up My Small-Town Fantasy“; The NYT  (9/7/2014) “When Gavin Kaysen announced in March that he would leave his longtime position as Café Boulud‘s executive chef to open his own restaurant, plenty of people in the restaurant industry...
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